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According to the new Survey USA poll (hat tip to MNCR).

Key points:

• The difference is within the margin of error (MOE).Remember: the MOE applies to both statistics. So if Coleman is at 49% and Franken at 42% with MOE +/- 4%, the true values might have Franken at 46% and Coleman at 45%.

• Coleman is getting 15% of his total support from Democrats! No, this isn’t a sign of Democrats rejecting Franken - even against Ciresi the numbers are almost identical.Did I say identical?I meant to say that Franken gets more Democrat, Republican and Independent voters than Ciresi does against Coleman. That’s what we call a “non-issue”. Zing Brodkorb!This is the soft underside to Coleman’s support level, which is already slipping. Once the campaign begins in earnest, that 15% is going to slowly fade away…
• Moderates support both Democrats over Coleman Brodkorb at Minnesota Democrats Exposed wrote, in reference to this survey, that Franken has said things that would make a “goat sick”. I guess there aren’t too many sensitive goats among Minnesotan moderates.
• Coleman also loses to the Democrats with:
  

• Women
• 65 year olds and over
• Registered Democrats! (Yes, this matters, since Democrats comprise 11% more of the registered electorate over Republicans). Woot!

I’ll whip up some visual aids later. I’ve got to get downtown…more on this later.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, August 1st, 2007 at 7:09 am and is filed under MN Senate 2008, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.